These and other scenarios for 2030 point to the urgent need to scale up proven interventions. Closing the gap between the current trajectory and the rate of progress needed to achieve the 2030 child survival goal would save the lives of 13 million children under age 5, almost half of them newborn. around four in 87 every five lives saved would be in sub-Saharan africa. FIGURE 1.6 Many countries will miss the under-five mortality target, some by a wide margin Projected under-five mortality rate, at current trends, in countries that are expected to miss the SdG target by 2030 SdG target under-five mortality rate of 25 deaths or fewer per 1,000 live births by 2030 Excess mortality angola Somalia Chad Central african republic lesotho Benin nigeria Mauritania Sierra leone afghanistan democratic republic of the Congo Mali Côte d’ivoire Pakistan equatorial Guinea Comoros Guinea Cameroon Togo Guinea-Bissau Zimbabwe South Sudan Sudan haiti Burundi Burkina faso djibouti Acceleration needed Papua new Guinea to meet SDG target niger Gambia More than 5x lao People’s democratic republic 3–5x Ghana 2–3x Mozambique less than 2x 0 25 50 75 100 125 Deaths per 1,000 live births Note: The countries shown had 10,000 or more live births in 2015 and are expected to miss the SdG target by more than 10 deaths per 1,000 live births, if current trends continue. Source: UniCef analysis based on Un iGMe, 2015. The STaTe of The World’S Children 2016 25